
Stay warm and enjoy the season!
At a time when freight volumes remain depressed amidst the recession, coupled with reports indicating that the economy has “bottomed out,” it is very clear that those optimistic for a near-term recovery need to take a long-term view.
Some recent economic indicators for this sentiment include:
The news is not all bad, though. Recently-released data from Panjiva, an online search engine with detailed information on global suppliers and manufacturers, notes that May represents the third consecutive month that there was an uptick in the number of global manufacturers shipping to the U.S. May saw a two percent bump, following gains of two percent in February and eight percent in March. Panjiva said this is the first time it has seen three consecutive monthly increases since it began tracking this metric in July 2007.
Even though these numbers are heading in the right direction, the company cautioned that last spring it also saw some uptick in the number of global manufacturers shipping to the U.S., leading to the possibility that there may be a seasonal component to these findings. Also, the company noted the two percent May gain is “modest,” with the recovery to pre-trade levels likely to be a while.
“We are seeing some encouraging signs, but there is still a low level of overall activity in an absolute sense,” said Panjiva CEO Josh Green in an interview. “It feels like the ‘deer in the headlights’ moment is over.”
Another positive, he noted, is that the sense of economic panic from earlier in the year seems to be gone, but there is still a long way to go. Companies continue to be cautious in their approach to placing orders, according to Green, and they are much more cognizant of the risks that are in their supply chains.
Examples of this risk are directly related to the fallout from last October’s financial crisis, Green noted, with companies not being as diligent as they need to be when it comes to volatile conditions in the market.
Read the rest of the Supply Chain Management Review article here.
WASHINGTON—The United States Census Bureau reported that new orders for manufactured goods in March decreased $1.3 billion—or 0.8 percent—to $161.2 billion, marking the seventh decrease in the last eight months.
This data follows a 2.1 percent increase for new orders of manufactured goods in February, which was revised following a previous estimate of a 3.4 percent monthly increase.
The Census Bureau added that shipments of manufactured durable goods in March decreased $3.0 billion—or 1.7 percent—to 175.0 billion. February shipments were down 0.8 percent, with shipments down for eight consecutive months.
Inventories of manufactured durable goods in March decreased $3.7 billion—or 1.1 percent—to $331.6 billion, following a 1.3 percent decrease in February, said the Census Bureau.
An Associated Press report said that February’s increase in new orders followed by a small drop in March “show some faint signs of life in manufacturing.”
But that has yet to translate into growing freight transportation tonnage and volumes, which have been severely impacted by the recession.
“Things will likely continue to dip freight-wise as consumer product companies are still working through their inventories,” said David K. Schneider, Logistics Management Contributor and President of supply chain and transportation consultancy David K. Schneider & Company LLC. “But it is encouraging to see things pointing up after being down for such a long period of being pointed downwards.
(source:www.logisticsmngmnt.com